CoBuddy operating TikTok Shop short-video tasks for a cleaning glove product
Refine the craft, compound the playbook

AI E-commerce Operating System Agent

An e-commerce operating systemthat gets smarter as you use it

Connect the whole operating chain to AI agents and turn proven playbooks into system capability, so every launch starts from the last round's results.

CoBuddy is shaping the next content directionAgent task
01Product memory read02Video results returned03Vietnam content angles

The probability of e-commerce profit

The e-commerce wealth code: probability

The three valves of the wealth code: red balls (launch success rate), launch cost, and launch volume (capital accumulation).

Q
01

Ten balls: 8 white, 2 red. How many draws does it take to be 99% sure of getting a red ball?

12345678910
Red × 2White × 8
A

99% CONFIDENCE

21draws

before you can call it almost certain.
One draw less and you are still gambling.

Draws needed for 99% confidence21 draws
Draw 1Draw 21
Draw 21 is where luck becomes probability
99%VS21 draws = the wealth code
Q

What if there were more than two red balls? Four, five… what then?How many draws for 99% confidence?

A: 4 red→draw 10·5 red→draw 7

Most sellers do not fail because they cannot make money. They run out of budget before attempt 21. Even a win at attempt 21 cannot cover the losses if every round is not accounted for.

Practise the fundamentals, take control of the three valves, enter your success rate and watch your wealth evolve ↓
01

Red balls

= launch success rate
2 red = 20%

1 red = 10%5 red = 50%
20%Red balls 2 / 10
02

Launch cost

Labour, images, videos
total cost per launch

¥20¥500
¥100per launch
03

Launch volume

= capital accumulated
more launches, more capital tied up

Base 21Go public 21,000
210SKUs

02The standard playbook, quantified

Recalculated live from the valves · the highlighted row is your scale
ScaleHit rateLaunchesCost / launchTotal costWinnersProfit / winnerMonthly profitPayback
Base20%211002,10013,0003,0000.7
ScaleCurrent20%21010021,000103,00030,0000.7
Expand20%2,100100210,0001003,000300,0000.7
Go public20%21,0001002,100,0001,0003,0003,000,0000.7

Method: attempts for 99% confidence = ⌈ln(0.01) ÷ ln(1 − hit rate)⌉; winners = ⌊launches ÷ attempts⌋; total cost = launches × cost; payback = total cost ÷ monthly profit.

03What a higher hit rate buys you

At 210 launches, a higher hit rate means more winners
20%2 red
30,000CNY / mo · 21 launches per winner
Current
30%3 red
48,000CNY / mo · 13 launches per winner
+18,000
40%4 red
63,000CNY / mo · 10 launches per winner
+33,000
50%5 red
90,000CNY / mo · 7 launches per winner
+60,000

Illustrative maths based on fixed assumptions (equal cost per launch, CNY 3,000 monthly profit per winning product, independent launches). It explains the probability–cost relationship only and is not a promise of returns, investment advice, or a guarantee of results. Actual outcomes depend on product, market, platform rules and execution, and losses are possible.

03 · The evolving operating loop

The whole operating chain runs on AI agentsreplacing routine operations

An operating system built on proven launch tactics, so your launch success rate keeps compounding.

Six data sources
Auto strategy · runs itself

AI+selection strategy (seven tactics)

Project review (profit + competition)

Product concept deck

AI e-commerce image sets

One-click listing

AI promo videos

Auto ad plan from the ROI value

Profit review - adjust the plan

Analytics - refine short videos

Ops review - basics and positioning

Data feedback - refine ROI selection

The heart (playbook)

Seven launch principles and tactics

Closed loop

AI agent

(the snowball profit playbook)

Three outcomes

1. Equals targete.g. ROI=3 is break-even
2. Belowset ROI=4 or 5
3. Above

For cases 1 and 2 there are two choices:

A Optimise visuals + fundamentals

B Replace with a higher-ROI lookalike

e.g. ROI=2 improves to 2.5

If the selling price stays the same, sourcing a cheaper supplier lifts margin to 60% and the product turns profitable with no optimisation at all.

ROI break-even = 1.7
P · PlanA · ActD · DoC · Check

Accumulated data = a higher success rate =

an evolving system (self-improving)

+

Success rate × probability

The path to sustained profit

An operating system built forsaving, earning, and compounding

One map shows where traditional e-commerce gets stuck and how the system removes each blocker. Click a node to read it, or use the round button to expand the next level.

DiagnosisFull controlSave costGrow revenueScale safely

Drag to pan · scroll to zoom · click a node for details

益博纳 AI 运营系统

Child nodes · 2

Drag to pan · scroll to zoom · click a node for details

Product lifecycle record vs. hit-product playbook

Turn one hitinto a repeatable playbook

Every launch and every operating record is kept and analysed, so proven playbooks can be repeated against an uncertain market.

30 days of one listing: from scheduled launch to the next decision

Recorded automatically

7.24

定时上架

拿到曝光

  • 点击率 > 35 分 · 证明 1:流量获取能力
  • 跳失率 · 证明 2:流量留存能力
  • 上架时间、标题、主图版本全部留痕

记录上架时间 / 标题 / 主图 / SKU 版本

8.1

验证转化

打正标签

  • 正打标签 10 分;群聊提前购覆盖 10~20 个标签
  • 承流能力 35 分:收、加、领、关、付款
  • 风险线:差评 > 3%,退货 / 纠纷 / 介入 / 投诉率高于行业

记录标签、人群、转化与风险指标

8.7

内容加推

放大流量

  • 内容种草:明确场景主题,直观解决问题,选对渠道与人群
  • 爆文加推:超级短视频 + 加推,适合大快消
  • 付费工具回流、直播、短视频同步观察

记录内容方向、脚本、投放与表现

8.14

私域与付费

确认收货

  • 私域发力:会员、供销
  • 搜索:手动人群包 + 智能放量
  • 推荐:魔方上手,付费 1~2 周后分析货品与人、人与渠道的三匹配

记录搜索 / 推荐 / 私域的流量结构

8.21

放大与复盘

下一轮判断

  • 营销活动节奏、达人合作、淘客
  • 销量对转化的影响
  • 哪些动作有效、哪些无效,沉淀为下一轮打法

输出本轮结论,沉淀为可复制打法

Operating capability keeps compounding

Launch, assets, tags, content, ads, private traffic, and conclusions stay in the system, so the next launch starts from the last one.

Launch recordAsset versionsAds and audiencesRound conclusions

Capabilities

One system,the whole operating chain

Sourcing, content, ads, profit, and review are built in. Features marked beta are rolling out gradually.

Hit video replication

Only replicate what data has proven

Creator IP replication

Profit with long-term compounding

AI customer service

Scale without headcount

Pain-point mining

A new angle for hit products

Market overview

Find blue-ocean opportunities

Rising product analysis

Spot category dark horses

Price-band planning

Competitive pricing decisions

Category layout

See competitors' category coverage

Customer demand analysis

Read where demand is heading

Similar-item analysis

Analyse products through lookalikes

Beta

Hit-product plan

Launch hit products systematically

Beta

Competitive analysis

Know the market and yourself

New-arrival monitoring

Track competitors' launches

Demand trend analysis

Study trends and find new markets

Ad performance analysis

Spend where it works

Product trend insight

See the market from above

Beta

Product selection

Let products compete and filter

Title optimisation

Optimise titles with keywords and roots

Market insight

Understand the market before acting

Hit-product trajectory

Learn how hits actually grow

Beta

Rising demand analysis

Catch blue-ocean demand early

Keyword layout

Own the keyword trend

Customer voice analysis

Read reviews at a glance

New

Profit calculator

The secret weapon of e-commerce profit

Product demand planning

Plan the line-up around demand

Differentiation analysis

Product power is the real moat

Beta

Every product edit and video test starts from zero

Titles, images, scripts, publishing, and reviews are scattered. Without product memory, operators must remember the whole history themselves.

Which direction should the next video continue?

Title changed

Positioning was overwritten

Image tested

Clicks moved, conversion did not

Videos shipped

Scenario content worked better

Review done

The next round was not carried forward

CoBuddy 商品详情页作为商品运营上下文
CoBuddy 商品洞察数据作为运营判断依据
CoBuddy 商品短视频工作台承接视频运营任务

Every product has its own operating memory

Before changing a title, image, or video direction, CoBuddy understands what already happened to that product.

Product memory lets CoBuddy understand what each action means in the full operating journey, not just follow the current instruction.

Observe->Decide->Act
CoBuddy product operating memory turning actions and observations into the next decision

Not just the next video.The whole video matrix.

CoBuddy plans content directions, creates scripts and videos, publishes through official TikTok capabilities, then feeds results into the next decision.

Publish through the official TikTok API, then return performance data to the next decision
01Product memory
02Direction map
03Scripts and videos
04Official publishing
05Performance review
CoBuddy product short-video direction map
CoBuddy 通过 TikTok 官方发布能力发布短视频
CoBuddy AI short-video operations review
CoBuddy product short-video script execution list

01

Product memory

02

Direction map

03

Scripts and videos

04

Official publishing

05

Performance review

Not browser clicking. Direct official system connections.

CoBuddy connects TikTok Shop, 1688, official TikTok publishing, and fulfillment services through official or formal interfaces, with confirmation for critical actions.

TikTok Shop1688Official TikTok publishingFulfillment partnersGMV Max
Preview
Confirm
Execute via API
Return result
TikTok 官方发布确认弹窗
CoBuddy 修改标题前进行用户授权确认
CoBuddy 通过正式接口搜索 1688 货源

一个商品,从能不能做,到下一轮怎么做

When a product starts showing content signals, CoBuddy can carry opportunity checks, sourcing, and profit validation into the same operating task chain.

01Read opportunity
02Match supply
03Validate margin
CoBuddy 围绕商品串起看同款、找货源、算利润、做图上架、内容发布、表现复盘和下一步调整

Give CoBuddy your next product video operations task

Start with one product, one image, one 1688 link, or a batch of videos that did not lift off.

Talk to us

CoBuddy

TikTok Shop Operations Agent

Help me decide which video direction this product should test next.

Start with CoBuddy
iBona CoBuddy - The Operations Agent for TikTok Shop Sellers